Day After Tommorrow; Is End of the world a reality with global warming?
web, Feb 12, 2005.
Is this a movie or reality: Australia suffered its worst drought in 100 years, multiple hurricanes hammerred Florida, Algeria had its worst snow in 50 years last month.
It seems like a familiar scenario from the movie 'Day After Tommorrow' where the hero tries to warn the world about effects of global warming and really wasn't able to save the world. Remember the meet at New Delhi where it snowed for the first time in thousands of years.(in the movie, of course)
Well, this month 141 countries will attempt the best effort to arrest a forecasted continued rise of global temperatures by bringing into force the Kyoto protocol. The treaty is an agreement aimed at curbing emissions of gases from cars and industry, blamed for trapping the earth's heat.
"Dealing with (global warming) will not be easy. Ignoring it will be worse," the United Nations (news - web sites) says.
At issue is how humanity should deal with global warming, the risks of which are not yet fully understood despite broad consensus among scientists that people are heating the planet with the emission of such heat-trapping gases as carbon dioxide.
Not everyone is convinced of Kyoto's importance. President Bush (news - web sites) pulled the United States out of Kyoto in 2001, reckoning it will be too costly and that it wrongly excludes developing countries from cuts in emissions until 2012.
Bush accepts there are risks from climate change but says more research is needed -- exasperating even allies who say that the time for Kyoto-style caps on emissions is now.
"We're talking about spending perhaps $150 billion a year on Kyoto with fairly little benefit," said Bjorn Lomborg, Danish author of "The Skeptical Environmentalist."
Lomborg said that money would be better spent on combating AIDS (news - web sites) and malaria, malnutrition and promoting fair global trade.
Many climate scientists say that floods, storms and droughts will become more frequent and that climate change is the most severe long-term threat to the planet's life support systems.
Rising temperatures could force up ocean levels, swamping coasts and low-lying Pacific islands and drive thousands of species to extinction by 2100.
But full proof is elusive.
A Caribbean hurricane season last year, when Florida was the first U.S. state to be hit by four hurricanes in one season since 1886, might be a fluke. Bears are waking in Estonia in the warmest winter in two centuries, again a possible climate freak.
"Imagine a pot of boiling water on the stove. If I turn up the heat I can't say that each bubble is from the extra heat," said Mike MacCracken, chief scientist for climate change programs at the Climate Institute, a Washington think-tank.
"But there are more bubbles and they're larger," he said, adding it was best to act now rather than risk disaster.
The warmest year at the world's surface since records began in the 1860s was 1998, followed by 2002, 2003 and 2004, according to the U.N.'s World Meteorological Organization (news - web sites).
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