New Delhi, November 20, 2012 – News n Analysis by Dr. Raj Baldev, Cosmo Theorist, on the issue of Mamata’s No Confidence Motion, she now wants CPI(M) to initiate the No Confidence Motion and commits to support it; what could be the total strategy of all parties in Parliament commencing from November 22?
There was one stage when she wanted to go for No Confidence Motion and simply sought for the cooperation of all like minded parties. When she realized her strength is not enough to take this step, she has requested CPI(M) to initiate this move and assured them she would support them.
The CPM has arch differences with Mamata Banerjee and may not be interested to be dictated by her. But now when Ms. Mamata Banerjee as Chief Minister of West Bengal has expressed her desire to forget the past and is ready to improve the relations, it is up to CPI(M)whether to act upon her advice or to take their independent course of action in Parliament.
Compare the language of both Ms. Mamata and Prakash Karat, how they think and express their ideology:
Ms. Mamata Banerjee said, words to the effect: “We have no ego issues. Even if the CPI(M) moves a no-confidence motion we will support it. This is why we are appealing all parties to think hard about whether they want UPA2 to continue. If Congress can speak to the BJP, then even TMC can speak to anyone from the Left.”
She has categorically stated that she is ready to back a No Confidence Motion (NCM) if the CPM introduces it in Parliament.”
However, she shouldn’t be so hopeful of getting an olive branch from the Left unless other parties come forward in her support.
On the other side, Prakash Karat had already ruled out any chance of the party backing Mamata’s move yesterday and said they would prefer other alternatives to take on the government in Parliament.
So far NDA is concerned, they have kept the proposal of Ms. Banerjee in mind but kept their own decision undisclosed so far, and perhaps they wish to consult their allies before giving their final view. They fixed their time to meet at 5 pm today to finalize their strategy to be adopted in Parliament which is going to function from 22 November, 2012.
I am sure the BJP is only interested to tackle the issue of FDI in retail in Parliament with a possible victory as they believe and that’ s why they would be interested only to associate with Mamat Banerjee to that extent.
To go for No Confidence Motion, Mamata Banerjee has only 19 MPs, whereas she needs at least 31 more to move a No Confidence Motion. Finally the BJP shall be meeting under the chairmanship of Mr. LK Advani to consider the final move.
If I go by the remarks of Murli Manohar Joshi which he passed yesterday, he said: “If numbers are not adequate and the motion fails, the government becomes safe for the next six months within which another such motion cannot be brought. If it succeeds, BJP shall have to think of the next course of action.”
So far AIADMK led by Tamil Nadu Chief Minister J Jayalalithaa is concerned, she stands chances to support the proposal the TMC. As regards the decision from other anticipated parties, they may take their decision today.
If all parties unite in the real sense, the UPA Govt. may face a tough time.